The southwestern part of Yakutia retains a high class of wildfires. According to the ensemble forecast of the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia model (SL-AV) and MGO model, within two weeks the anomaly of surface temperature in this area will be 2-4 degrees.
The Hydrometeorological Center of Russia along with the G. I. Marchuk Institute of Computational Mathematics RAS became associate members of the WMO Annual-to-Decadal Climate Prediction Consortium (LD-ADCP WMO). A technology based on the global climate model INM-CM5 and the system for generating an ensemble of initial states was created. An analysis of the success of retrospective forecasts of the main meteorological parameters for the period 1960-2022 showed that their accuracy meets the requirements for the center providing data for LD-ADCP WMO.
Forecasts of the INM-CM5 model are available on the LD-ASP WMO website at https://hadleyserver.metoffice.gov.uk/wmolc/, and were also taken into account in the WMO Global Annual to Decadal Climate Update issued in June 2023.
In the northern half of the European territory of Russia and in the northwest of Siberia, surface temperature anomalies up to -4...-6 degrees are expected in the period from May,3 to May,9.
At the 80th session of the ESCAP Commission, held on April 23, 2024 in Bangkok, the report "State of the climate in Asia in 2023" from the series of regional reports of the World Meteorological Organization was presented. This document is based on information received from national meteorological and hydrological services, United Nations partners and climate experts, including NEACC experts. The report highlights the acceleration of changes in basic climate indicators, including rising surface temperatures, glacial retreat and sea level rise, which will lead to serious consequences for the society, economy and ecosystems of the region.
According to the International Emergency Database, 79 hydrometeorological disasters occurred in Asia in 2023, most of which were caused by floods and storms. These natural disasters have led to the deaths of more than 2,000 people and injured about 9,000,000. The average annual surface temperature in Asia in 2023 was the second highest in the entire history of observations and was 0.91 °C higher than the average value during the period from 1991 to 2020. More information about the report can be found at the link https://library.wmo.int/records/item/68890-state-of-the-climate-in-asia-2023.
The third session of the Commission for Weather, Climate, Hydrological, Marine and Related Environmental Services and Applications (SERCOM-3) was held from 4 to 9 March in Bali, Indonesia. During the session, a strategy for the effective development of meteorological services, including an early warning system, was worked out. A strategy involves the use of high-quality data, infrastructure, modeling data, expert assessments, as well as user engagement and feedback mechanisms. The importance of partnerships, research activities, the use of technologies, including innovative ones, capacity development and effective management was emphasized. The program for the inter-sessional period from 2024 to 2028 was also approved at the session. SERCOM-3 materials are available here https://meetings.wmo.int/SERCOM-3/SitePages/Session%20Information.aspx .
Source https://meetings.wmo.int/SERCOM-3/SitePages/Session%20Information.aspx
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19.07.2024
The southwestern part of Yakutia retains a high class of wildfires. According to the ensemble...
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17.07.2024
The Hydrometeorological Center of Russia along with the G. I. Marchuk Institute of Computational...
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03.05.2024
In the northern half of the European territory of Russia and in the northwest of Siberia, surface...